NWS · Q2 2026 Earnings
BullishNews Corp (Class B)
Reported February 5, 2026
30-second summary
Revenue grew 6% to $2.36B with adjusted EPS of $0.40 and total segment EBITDA of $521M — the 11th consecutive quarter of YoY EBITDA growth on continuing operations. Dow Jones (+8%), Digital Real Estate (+8%), and Book Publishing (+6%) all accelerated from Q1, Realtor (Move) posted +10% revenue growth, and management explicitly anchored the AI thesis to Anthropic's $1.5B pirated-books settlement with "a large chunk" expected to flow to HarperCollins later this calendar year. The two-segment compounder narrative now has a third leg back in growth mode and a concrete AI-monetization dollar figure to point at.
Headline numbers
EPS
Q2 FY2026
$0.40
Revenue
Q2 FY2026
$2.36B
+6.0% YoY
Key financials
Q2 FY2026| Metric | Q2 FY2026 | YoY | Q1 FY2026 | QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.36B | +6.0% | $2.14B | +10.2% |
| EPS | $0.40 | — | $0.22 | +81.8% |
Guidance
No numerical guidance provided in either prior or current quarter; only qualitative statements made.
No numerical guidance provided in either prior or current quarter; only qualitative statements made.
Segment performance
Q2 FY2026| Segment | Q2 FY2026 | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones | $0.648B | +8.0% |
| Digital Real Estate Services | $0.511B | +8.0% |
| Book Publishing | $0.633B | +6.0% |
| News Media | $0.57B | — |
| REA Group | $0.368B | +7.0% |
| Move (Realtor.com) | $0.143B | +10.0% |
| Risk & Compliance Revenue Growth | 20% YoY | — |
Platform metrics
Q2 FY2026| Segment | Q2 FY2026 |
|---|---|
| Dow Jones Digital Revenues | 82% of segment revenues |
| Dow Jones Total Consumer Subscriptions | 6.5 million average |
| Wall Street Journal Digital-Only Subscriptions | 4.3 million average |
| Realtor.com Average Monthly Unique Users | 62 million |
| Realtor.com Lead Volume Growth | +13% YoY |
Profitability
Q2 FY2026| Segment | Q2 FY2026 |
|---|---|
| Total Segment EBITDA | $521 million |
| Adjusted Total Segment EBITDA | $517 million |
Management tone
Foxtel divestiture → Two-segment compounder reframe → IP rights as combative platform → AI licensing with a dollar anchor
The AI rhetoric escalated again, and this time it has a number attached. Last quarter Thomson moved from Q4's "woo and sue" to a direct warning shot at language models — "if you have received stolen goods, we intend to pursue you relentlessly" — with the Anthropic $1.5B settlement cited as precedent. This quarter the framing collapses precedent into cash flow: "Anthropic has already agreed to pay $1.5 billion for using pirated books. We and our authors at HarperCollins naturally expect to receive our fair share of that payout starting later this calendar year." The arc from defensive ("we will fight") to combative ("we will pursue") to monetized ("we expect to receive") is complete in three quarters. Layer in the named Bloomberg AI rights expansion and the OpenAI editorial/business/real estate partnership detail, and the partnership pipeline Q1 telegraphed is now specifically populated.
Realtor framing tightened from "renaissance beginning" to "growth confirmed despite an abnormal market." Q1 cited "the beginnings of an expected renaissance in the U.S. real estate market as lower interest rates stimulated higher demand"; this quarter Thomson decoupled the growth narrative from the housing cycle: "Realtor.com's revenues grew by 10% in the quarter... despite lingering challenges... housing market remains far from normal." The implicit message is that the +10% print does not depend on a rate-cycle turn — a stronger claim than Q1's "rates are falling, so Realtor will benefit." Lead volume swinging from -1% to +13% YoY supports the case, and MUUs ticked up 1% YoY to 62M.
Corporate identity reframe hardened into operating description. Q1 emphasized the structural completion of the digital transformation; this quarter Chandrasekhar makes the identity claim explicit: "News Corp has evolved well beyond the scope of a traditional media company. We are now a digital-first company with a strong and growing recurring revenue base." This is no longer a journey being narrated — it is a state being asserted, with 11 consecutive quarters of EBITDA growth and an 82% digital mix at Dow Jones as the evidence base. The framing is designed to recast the multiple investors should apply.
Book Publishing pivoted from "Q2 timing tailwind" to actual delivery. Q1 staked credibility on Q2 benefiting from "timing of ordering and a stronger front list." Q2 delivered +6% revenue growth — the first growth print after two negative quarters — and management has now extended the runway to Q3 via the HarperCollins backlist and "favorable year-on-year comparisons." The promise was kept; the question is whether the Anthropic backlist payout (expected later this calendar year) becomes a one-time spike or a recurring line item.
The combative content-quality rhetoric reached its sharpest pitch yet. Thomson asking "What is the point of acquiring cutting-edge semiconductors if they are being deployed to repurpose gormless, factless, feckless content sets?" and dismissing competitor output as "biased bilge or retrospective rubbish" represents a notable escalation even by his standards. The tactical purpose is clear: position proprietary, contemporary, professionally-edited content as the non-negotiable input for AI systems, and use that positioning to set pricing power for the licensing deals now under negotiation.
Recurring themes management leaned on this quarter:
Risks management surfaced:
Q&A highlights
David Karnofsky · JP Morgan
Market reaction to AI and its impact on business services/data companies. What should investors reasonably worry about versus what the market may be overweighting or missing regarding AI's threat?
Management emphasized that AI is retrospective and synthesizes generic content, while News Corp has contemporary, creative proprietary content. They highlighted their 'moat' strategy requiring AI companies to pay for content access, noted Anthropic's $1.5B settlement for pirated books with large payouts to News Corp, and emphasized AI models need real-time data which News Corp produces daily. Stated confidence in ability to create premium content while AI companies 'recycle rubbish.'
Andrew Rakowski · Evans and Partners
Comfort level with Dow Jones investment requirements to address AI threat; ability to quantify CapEx linked to technology investment; concern about tools like Claude Legal's negative impact on operations.
Management expressed full confidence in Dow Jones professional information business, noting it's not retrospective content but contemporary information. Stated 'particularly positive' trajectory for this and next quarter. Emphasized unique, contemporary journalistic and authored content cannot be used without permission. Noted already have AI deals with advanced negotiations for others. Total CapEx expected modestly up year-over-year, but Dow Jones CapEx specifically will be 'modestly down' despite strong free cash flow generation.
Craig Huber · Huber Research
Two-part question: (1) Has anything changed regarding investor wishes to simplify company structure given improving fundamentals? (2) Is homes.com competition concerning for Realtor.com given their investment; what is News Corp doing to combat this?
On structure: Management stated they constantly examine structure focusing on long-term shareholder value, noting robust balance sheet, strong free cash flow, and positive growth trajectory. On homes.com: Expressed satisfaction with Realtor.com's progress, characterized homes.com as 'a fixer-upper' or potential 'knockdown,' and stated focus is on Realtor whose 'revival is real.' Provided specific engagement metrics: 5 visits per unique user (highest across portals), 29% audience share, 3x visits vs homes.com, 2x visits vs Redfin, fastest revenue growth in 4 years.
David Joyce · Seaport Research
Where will capital be allocated to drive returns; how would priorities be set; can strategies be accelerated given recent legislative developments (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) and their impact on free cash flow allocation?
Management identified three core business drivers: Dow Jones, Digital, Real Estate, and HarperCollins, stating these businesses are 'traveling very well' and cash will be allocated accordingly. Response was brief and did not provide detailed allocation framework or impact analysis of legislative developments.
Elsa Lee · UBS
Color on Dow Jones circular (subscription) revenue pricing strategy going forward; balance between acquiring new subscribers versus ARPU growth; how promotional pricing rolloff will impact ARPU.
Management noted successful enterprise customer acquisition with lower churn and lower marketing costs, though modest near-term ARPU impact. Stated belief in pricing elasticity given unique editorial experience. Highlighted improving ability to identify vulnerable and high-usage subscribers for dynamic pricing. Also noted digital advertising revenue rose 12% to record highs and company has desirable digital demographic. Added detail on recent pricing increases for new digital customers and certain tenured customers, plus promotion optimization, with improvement in churn excluding enterprise customers.
Answers to last quarter's watch list
What to watch into next quarter
Anthropic settlement cash receipt timing and magnitude — management said the payout flows to HarperCollins "starting later this calendar year." Watch Q3 (or Q4) FY2026 for the first disclosed dollar figure, which becomes the new pricing-power benchmark for every AI licensing negotiation underway. A vague "modest contribution" framing would undercut the rhetoric.
Free cash flow inflection — H1 FY26 FCF of $136M against management's softer "auspicious prospects" framing replaces Q1's explicit "strong free cash flow" language. Watch Q3 FCF for evidence the H2 reacceleration management implied actually materializes.
Bloomberg AI deal financial disclosure — the expanded Bloomberg AI rights deal was named but not quantified. Watch for revenue contribution detail at the Dow Jones Investor Day or in Q3 results; an unquantified deal stays in the rhetoric column, not the monetization column.
News Media advertising trajectory — News Media revenue was flat YoY (0%) in Q2 with management explicitly guiding "difficult advertising trends are likely to continue" and modest California Post launch investment ahead. Watch whether the segment slips into negative territory in Q3.
Dow Jones CapEx trajectory and AI defensive spending discipline — management committed Dow Jones CapEx will be "modestly down" this year despite total company CapEx being "moderately up." Watch whether that discipline holds; rising Dow Jones CapEx would signal AI threat is forcing reactive investment that management currently denies needing.
Realtor monetization mix — growth adjacencies (new homes, rentals, sellers) reached 21% of Realtor revenue, +100bps YoY. Watch whether that mix continues to expand as the housing cycle stays subdued — it is the cleanest evidence that the +10% print is structural rather than cyclical.
Sources
- News Corp Q2 FY2026 press release, filed with SEC: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1564708/000156470826000027/release-q2fy2026.htm
- News Corp Q2 FY2026 earnings conference call commentary (management remarks and Q&A excerpts as referenced)
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