tapebrief

ORCL · Q2 2025 Earnings

Bullish

Oracle Corporation

Reported September 9, 2025

30-second summary

30-second take: Oracle posted Q1 revenue of $14.93B (+12% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS of $1.47, but the print is entirely about the bookings shock: RPO jumped to $455B from $138B last quarter, up 359% YoY, on what management describes as multiple multi-billion-dollar customer signings. Ellison then layered on a five-year OCI revenue roadmap — $18B this year scaling to $144B by FY2030 — and OCI grew 55% to $3.35B with MultiCloud database revenue up 1,529%. The single number that should give pause: free cash flow was -$5.88B this quarter, the capex bill to support this backlog is becoming the central question.

Headline numbers

EPS

Q2 FY2025

$1.47

Revenue

Q2 FY2025

$14.93B

+12.0% YoY

Free cash flow

Q2 FY2025

$-5.88B

Operating margin

Q2 FY2025

29.0%

Key financials

Q2 FY2025
MetricQ2 FY2025YoYQ1 FY2025QoQ
Revenue$14.93B+12.0%$15.90B-6.1%
EPS$1.47$1.70-13.5%
Operating margin29.0%44.2%-1520bps
Free cash flow$-5.88B

Guidance

Oracle raises OCI revenue to $18B (77% growth) with 5-year roadmap to $144B, but quietly lowers FY26 RPO growth expectations from 100%+ to $500B+ absolute, signaling margin constraints ahead.

Guidance is issued for both next quarter and the full year. Both may appear below.

New guidance

MetricPeriodGuideYoY
Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenueFY 2025grow 77% to $18 billion
Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenue - 5-year forecastFY 2025$32 billion, $73 billion, $114 billion, and $144 billion over the subsequent four years

Changes to prior guidance

MetricPeriodPrior guideNew guideΔResult
RPO growth
FY 2025
more than 100%likely to exceed half-a-trillion dollarsQualitative softening from 'more than 100%' to 'likely to exceed $500B'. Current RPO $455B suggests ~10-11% growth to $500B+ from current base, well below prior 100%+ guidance.Lowered
OCI consumption revenue growth
FY 2025
faster than Q4 62% growthWithdrawn — no replacementWithdrawn

Reaffirmed unchanged this quarter: Total cloud growth rate (over 40%), Cloud Infrastructure growth rate (over 70%), MultiCloud revenue growth (grow substantially every quarter for several years)

Segment performance

Q2 FY2025
SegmentQ2 FY2025YoY
Cloud$7.186B+28.0%
Cloud Applications (SaaS)$3.839B+11.0%
Cloud Infrastructure (IaaS)$3.347B+55.0%
Fusion Cloud ERP$1B+17.0%
NetSuite Cloud ERP$1B+16.0%
Software$5.721B-1.0%
Hardware$0.67B+2.0%
Services$1.349B+7.0%

Platform metrics

Q2 FY2025
SegmentQ2 FY2025
Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO)$455 billion
RPO Year-over-Year Growth359%
MultiCloud Database Revenue Growth1,529%
Short-term Deferred Revenues$12.1 billion

Profitability

Q2 FY2025
SegmentQ2 FY2025
Operating Cash Flow (LTM)$21.5 billion
Non-GAAP Operating Margin42%
Non-GAAP Operating Income Growth9%

Other KPIs

Q2 FY2025
SegmentQ2 FY2025YoY
Americas$9.662B+15.4%
Europe/Middle East/Africa$3.481B+7.8%
Asia Pacific$1.783B+4.4%
Quarterly Cash Dividend per Share$0.50

Management tone

No transcript was available for this print. The press release commentary, however, sharpens the language from last quarter materially. Last quarter Ellison and Catz framed FY26 as a step-function with growth rates "skyrocketing"; this quarter Catz writes that Oracle signed four multi-billion-dollar contracts with three different customers in the quarter and expects "several additional multi-billion-dollar customers" with RPO crossing $500B. Ellison's framing has shifted from forward-looking confidence to a five-year revenue ladder — naming specific dollar targets ($32B, $73B, $114B, $144B) for FY27 through FY30 is the most explicit forward commitment Oracle has made in recent memory.

The notable absence: no commentary on capex or the -$5.88B free cash flow print. Building toward $144B of OCI revenue requires datacenter spend at a scale Oracle has not previously sustained, and the silence on funding is conspicuous.

Answers to last quarter's watch list

Q1 FY26 OCI growth rate — OCI grew 55% YoY in Q1, below the 70%+ trajectory implied by the FY26 guide. Management reaffirmed "over 70%" for the full year, meaning H2 OCI growth needs to step up materially. Status: Continue monitoring
RPO sequential build — RPO jumped to $455B from $138B, a $317B sequential build that vastly exceeds anything implied by the prior "more than 100%" FY26 guide. Last quarter's watch threshold of "$275B by next May" was cleared in a single quarter. Status: Resolved positively
Capex disclosure — Free cash flow of -$5.88B this quarter (vs. -$0.39B for all of FY25) implies a major capex step-up, but Oracle did not disclose the explicit capex number or FY26 capex framing in the press release. Status: Not resolved
MultiCloud database revenue dollars — Oracle disclosed MultiCloud database revenue grew 1,529% YoY but again did not provide an absolute dollar figure. The growth rate alone is more striking than a dollar disclosure, but the Street still cannot model the base. Status: Continue monitoring
Services segment — Services revenue grew +7% YoY vs. -2% last quarter, a clean reversal. The acceleration is consistent with implementation activity tied to the new mega-deals booked into RPO. Status: Resolved positively

What to watch into next quarter

Q2 FY26 OCI growth acceleration — at 55% in Q1, OCI needs to be running close to 70% by Q2 to make the "over 70%" FY26 guide credible without an extreme Q4 spike. A Q2 print below 60% effectively concedes the guide is back-half-loaded into Q4.

Explicit FY26 capex disclosure — Q1 FCF of -$5.88B annualizes to ~-$24B of negative free cash before any acceleration. The market needs an absolute capex number and a financing plan; expect this on the Q2 call or sooner.

Customer concentration in the RPO — Catz disclosed four multi-billion-dollar contracts with three customers in the quarter, meaning a meaningful portion of the $317B sequential RPO build sits in 3-4 names. Watch for 10-K disclosure of customer concentration percentages and any commentary on contract duration.

MultiCloud database absolute dollars — second quarter in a row Oracle disclosed only a growth rate. First dollar disclosure will reset partnership economics modeling for AWS/Azure/Google contributions.

OCI consumption growth re-disclosure — the metric was withdrawn this quarter; whether it returns next quarter or stays dark will signal whether management wants visibility into consumption-vs-bookings divergence.

Sources

  1. Oracle Q1 FY2026 press release (filed 2025-09-09): https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1341439/000119312525199175/orcl-ex99_1.htm
  2. Oracle Q4 FY2025 press release (prior quarter context, filed 2025-06-11)

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