Wabtec

A framework for reading Schedule 13D filings, mapping the activist playbook from disclosure to outcome, and deciding whether to follow, fade, or ignore the trade.

A framework for separating guidance cuts that mark capitulation lows from those that signal the first cut of many. Five tests, with historical patterns to anchor each.

A losing stock isn't proof you were wrong — and a winner isn't proof you were right. Here's a framework to audit the decision, not the P&L.

A framework for telling whether a secondary offering funds real growth or just lets insiders cash out — with the filings, ratios, and red flags that separate the two.