tapebrief

EIX · Q1 2026 Earnings

Neutral

Edison International

Reported April 28, 2026

30-second summary

Edison reported Q1 FY2026 core EPS of $1.42 and GAAP EPS of $1.38 on revenue of $4.10B (+7.7% YoY), reaffirmed FY2026 core EPS guidance of $5.90–$6.20, and reaffirmed previously provided 2027, 2028, and 2030 core EPS targets along with the 5–7% 2025–2030 CAGR. Basic EPS guidance was adjusted to $5.86–$6.16 to reflect ($0.04) of non-core items recorded in Q1; core EPS is unchanged. The most material disclosure of the quarter is the CFO transition: Maria Rigotti will retire September 1, 2026, with Aaron Moss assuming the EIX CFO role on July 3, 2026. Continued inability to bound Eaton Fire liability ($500M+ in offers across 1,500 of ~30,000 plaintiffs) and a "singular focus" on 2026 SB 254 legislation define the rest of the quarter's narrative.

Headline numbers

EPS

Q1 FY2026

$1.42

Revenue

Q1 FY2026

$4.10B

+7.7% YoY

Operating margin

Q1 FY2026

26.2%

Key financials

Q1 FY2026
MetricQ1 FY2026YoYQ4 FY2025QoQ
Revenue$4.10B+7.7%
EPS$1.42$1.87-24.1%
Operating margin26.2%

Guidance

Edison International reaffirmed FY2026 core EPS guidance of $5.90–$6.20 and 5–7% long-term growth outlook but withdrew 2027-specific guidance.

Guidance is issued for the full year only, refreshed each quarter. Prior and new below are the same FY updated this quarter.

Changes to prior guidance

MetricPeriodPrior guideNew guideΔResult
2027 Core EPS Guidance
FY2027
$6.25-$6.65Withdrawn — no replacementWithdrawn

Reaffirmed unchanged this quarter: Core EPS (Full Year) ($5.90-$6.20)

Other KPIs

Q1 FY2026
SegmentQ1 FY2026
SCE Core EPS$1.65
Edison International Parent and Other Core Loss Per Share($0.23)
2026 Core EPS Guidance (Low-High)$5.90-$6.20
2025-2030 Core EPS Growth CAGR5-7%
Operating Income$1,074M

Management tone

Narrative arc: Q2 legislative defense → Q3 regulatory de-risking → Q4 multi-year reset → Q1 reaffirmation with leadership transition.

The tone this quarter is one of reaffirmation against a backdrop of leadership change. Pizarro and Rigotti reaffirmed FY2026 core EPS guidance, the 2027/2028/2030 targets, and the 5–7% long-term CAGR, while announcing that Rigotti will retire September 1 after transitioning the CFO role to Aaron Moss on July 3. Moss is internally promoted from SCE CFO, with prior tenure as EIX and SCE controller — a continuity-oriented succession that management framed around Moss's leadership of SCE's operational excellence efforts.

On SB 254, management's "singular focus" is on 2026 legislation. To Carly Davenport at Goldman Sachs, Pizarro framed the downside (paraphrasing his remarks) as follows: if legislation does not pass this year, he would expect credit rating impacts not only for utilities and insurance companies but in other sectors of the California economy, and Edison would need to revisit cost of capital and potentially reconsider capital allocation in future cycles. That is materially more candid about contingent risk than prior quarters' framing.

On Eaton, the disclosure pattern is consistent with Q4 but with more granularity in Q&A. Management to Greg Orrell at UBS: the company "cannot forecast ultimate participation," with 1,500 offers totaling $500M+ against 3,100 claims and ~30,000 plaintiffs. Anthony Crowdell at Mizuho asked when visibility would arrive; the answer was that Edison needs both a large enough volume of claims and stability or lack of volatility in the types of claims before extrapolating — a more concrete methodology than Q4's "lacks the confidence required under accounting standards," but with the same operational conclusion: no bounded estimate in 2026 H1.

The SB 254 positioning has firmed up. To Nick Campanella at Barclays, management spelled out three specific advocacy positions: broad risk-reduction incentives across California's economy, a fair and predictable process for cost recovery when catastrophes strike, and a return to the traditional cost-of-service model where investors can recover capital with appropriate returns if the utility is prudent, with further shareholder contributions reserved for cases of demonstrated management imprudence. The legislative-timing answer was the same as prior quarters: bills must be in print by August 28, session ends August 31, and the company cannot predict when legislation will resolve.

Q&A highlights

Nick Campanella · Barclays

What is Edison advocating for in the three SB 254 paths, what is the threshold for shareholder contributions, and when will the CEA report go to the legislature?

Edison advocates for broad risk reduction incentives across California's economy, fair recovery processes when catastrophes strike, and a return to the traditional cost-of-service model where investors can recover capital with appropriate returns if the utility is prudent. Shareholder contributions should only occur if management is not prudent. Timing is uncertain but bills must be in print by August 28; the company expects complex legislation and cannot predict when it will be resolved.

Edison supports traditional cost-of-service model for investor recoveryShareholder contributions contingent on management prudenceLegislative session ends August 31Bills must be in print by August 28

Greg Orrell · UBS

What is the anticipated scale of the wildfire recovery compensation program participation?

Edison cannot forecast ultimate participation. As of the call, 1,500 offers have been made totaling over $500 million, over 3,100 claims have been filed, approximately 30,000 plaintiffs have brought forth claims, and around 18,000 properties qualify for the program. The company states it is still very early stage and cannot estimate final exposure.

1,500 offers extended totaling over $500 million3,100+ claims filed~30,000 plaintiffs have brought claims~18,000 qualifying properties in eligible zones

Anthony Crowdell · Mizuho

At what point can Edison provide visibility on pace of settlement and loss estimate? Also, timing for CPUC decision on AMI 2.0 application?

On WRCP: Edison cannot estimate when it will have sufficient clarity to provide a loss estimate. The company needs to see both large claim volumes and stability in claim types before extrapolating. On AMI 2.0: Application was filed in March 2026; intervener comments expected in summer with July deadline, with decision following after that. About half of the $3.1 billion capital is in current forecast; the other half extends beyond 2030.

AMI 2.0 application: $3.1 billion capital program filed March 202650% of AMI 2.0 capital in current forecast through 203050% of AMI 2.0 capital extends beyond 2030Intervener comments expected summer/July timeframe

Carly Davenport · Goldman Sachs

What is Edison's course of action if legislation is not passed this session or is not as comprehensive as hoped? Should we expect changes to strategic focus or current plan?

Edison's singular focus is on 2026 legislation. The company stresses urgency due to deep costs of inaction highlighted in the CEA report. However, Edison cannot guarantee action in 2026. If legislation does not pass, the company would need to assess credit rating impacts across the economy, potentially review cost of capital implications, and reconsider capital allocation in future cycles. Management emphasizes financial consequences would extend beyond utilities to insurance and other state sectors.

Singular focus on 2026 legislation passageCannot guarantee action in 2026Potential credit rating impacts across multiple sectors if no actionFuture review of cost of capital and capital allocation if legislation fails

Aiden Kelly · JP Morgan

Regarding recent media headlines about information flow in Eaton Fire litigation, could Edison share thoughts on dissemination of information and whether pushback is normal or higher than expected?

Pedro addressed LA Times article criticizing information withholding. Edison clarified that some information is legitimately privileged on both sides in litigation, that confidentiality orders protect information unrelated to the Eaton Fire (including network topology for national security and customer data), and that the company remains committed to transparency within legal bounds. Management characterized the article as lacking balance and stressed that protecting privilege and confidential information is appropriate litigation practice.

Privilege information exists on both plaintiff and defense sidesConfidentiality orders protect network topology for federal security concernsCustomer information protection required under confidentiality ordersCompany commitment to transparency within litigation constraints

Answers to last quarter's watch list

First disclosed low end of Eaton total liability range. Not delivered. Claim activity expanded materially (1,500 offers / $500M+ vs. Q4's 590 offers; 3,100 claims and ~30,000 plaintiffs vs. Q4's 2,300 claims), but management explicitly told Mizuho it cannot estimate when it will have sufficient clarity. The bar disclosed this quarter — needing both large claim volumes and stability in claim types — gives a clearer methodology but no timeline. Status: Continue monitoring.
2026 quarterly cadence vs. the $5.90–$6.20 guide. Q1 core EPS of $1.42 represents ~23.5% of the FY midpoint of $6.05. With the FY guide reaffirmed unchanged and Q1 in hand, the cadence is on-track without being a definitive read. Status: Continue monitoring.
AMI 2.0 filing and CPUC review timeline. Resolved positively on filing. Application filed March 2026 with ~$3.1B capital ask through 2033, split ~50/50 between in-plan (through 2030) and post-2030, consistent with the Q4 framework. Intervener comments expected later in summer with decision following — process is on schedule. CPUC review outcome is still ahead. Status: Continue monitoring.
April 1 CEA report on SB 254 Phase 2. Addressed in prepared remarks and Q&A. The report presents three non-exclusive pathways, a defined set of strategies, and more than two dozen specific policy choices. Management's advocacy positions (traditional cost-of-service, shareholder contributions only on imprudence) frame Edison's posture going into the legislative phase. Status: Continue monitoring.
May 2027 GRC filing scoping. Partially addressed: SCE will file its risk assessment and mitigation phase (RAMP) application next month, which informs the next GRC. Status: Continue monitoring.

What to watch into next quarter

CFO transition execution. Aaron Moss takes the EIX CFO role July 3; Rigotti retires September 1. Watch for any updates to financial framework, disclosure cadence, or investor communication style under Moss, as well as continuity of the no-new-equity-through-2030 commitment.

SB 254 bill text by August 28. With Q2 reporting likely before or near this deadline, watch for any commentary on bill structure — particularly whether the framework preserves the traditional cost-of-service principle and how shareholder-contribution triggers are defined.

Eaton WRCP claim acceleration trajectory. Offers grew from 590 to 1,500 between Q4 and Q1 ($500M+ committed); watch whether Q2 shows another step-change in offer rate and whether the plaintiff count (~30,000) starts to consolidate against the ~18,000 qualifying-property base, which would mark the start of the claim-type stability management requires for an estimate.

CPUC AMI 2.0 intervener comments. Due around July; the substance and severity of pushback will signal whether the ~$3.1B ask survives intact.

Cost of capital and credit rating commentary. Davenport's Q&A drew the most explicit credit-impact framing to date. Watch whether rating agencies make any pre-legislation moves on EIX or SCE.

RAMP filing. SCE's RAMP filing next month sets the risk-and-mitigation framework for the next GRC cycle; watch the scope of identified mitigations and capital implications.

Sources

  1. Edison International Q1 2026 press release (Form 8-K Exhibit 99.1), filed April 28, 2026. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/827052/000082705226000041/eix-2026x0428exx991.htm
  2. Q1 2026 Edison International earnings call, prepared remarks and Q&A transcript.
  3. Tapebrief Q4-2025, Q3-2025, and Q2-2025 EIX briefs (for prior guidance baseline and watch-list context).

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