tapebrief

IRM · Q3 2025 Earnings

Bullish

Iron Mountain

Reported November 5, 2025

30-second summary

Revenue grew 12.6% YoY to $1.754B in Q3 FY2025, beating the ~$1.75B guide, with adjusted EBITDA of $660.4M (+110bps margin expansion to 37.6%) topping the >$650M floor and AFFO/share of $1.32 beating the ~$1.28 guide by 3.1%. Management reaffirmed the FY2025 ranges set last quarter and added a Q4 guide of ~$1.8B revenue / ~$690M EBITDA / ~$1.39 AFFO per share — implying the FY range lands at or above midpoint. The headline forward signal: a firm commitment to >25% data center revenue growth in 2026 "based on currently signed leases," with 18–24 month capacity coming online "the size of our current operating portfolio."

Headline numbers

EPS

Q3 FY2025

$0.54

Revenue

Q3 FY2025

$1.75B

+12.6% YoY

Operating margin

Q3 FY2025

17.6%

Key financials

Q3 FY2025
MetricQ3 FY2025YoYQ2 FY2025QoQ
Revenue$1.75B+12.6%$1.71B+2.5%
EPS$0.54$0.48+12.5%
Operating margin17.6%15.2%+240bps

Guidance

Guidance is issued for the full year only, refreshed each quarter. Prior and new below are the same FY updated this quarter.

Actuals vs prior guidance

MetricPeriodPrior guideActualΔResult
RevenueQ3 FY2025approximately $1.75 billion$1.754 billionin-lineBeat
Adjusted EBITDAQ3 FY2025in excess of $650 million$660.4 million+$10.4M above guideBeat
AFFOQ3 FY2025approximately $385 million$1.32 per share+$8M above guide (implied)Beat
AFFO Per ShareQ3 FY2025approximately $1.28$1.32+$0.04 above guide (+3.1%)Beat

New guidance

MetricPeriodGuideYoY
RevenueQ4 FY2025~$1,800 million (~14% YoY)~14% reported, ~12% constant FX
Adjusted EBITDAQ4 FY2025~$690 million (~14% YoY)~14% reported, ~12% constant FX
AFFOQ4 FY2025~$415 million (~13% YoY)~13%
AFFO Per ShareQ4 FY2025

Reaffirmed unchanged this quarter: Revenue ($6,790 - $6,940 million (~12% YoY)), Adjusted EBITDA ($2,520 - $2,570 million (~14% YoY)), AFFO ($1,505 - $1,530 million (~13% YoY)), AFFO Per Share ($5.04 - $5.13 (~12% YoY))

Segment KPIs

Q3 FY2025
SegmentQ3 FY2025YoY
Global RIM Business$1.339B+6.2%
Global Data Center Business$0.204B+33.2%
Corporate and Other$0.211B+46.9%
Storage Rental Revenue$1.033B+10.4%
Service Revenue$0.721B+16.0%

Other KPIs

Q3 FY2025
SegmentQ3 FY2025
Adjusted EBITDA$660.4M
Adjusted EBITDA Margin37.6%
AFFO per Share$1.32
FFO (Normalized) per Share$0.93
Total Storage Volume743.5M cubic feet
Storage Facility Capacity Utilization80.8%
Records Management Retention Rate93.2%
Data Center Leasable Megawatts452.2MW

Management tone

Q2 2025 anchor: "Sustaining double-digit growth" → Q3 2025 anchor: "Sustaining is now operational reality, with 2026 pre-leased"

Data center demand thesis hardened from forward-looking pivot to executed re-acceleration. Last quarter management was arguing that hyperscaler dollars would rotate back from LLM-training mega-campuses toward inference/cloud footprints where Iron Mountain plays — a forward bet that justified the soft 30–80MW 2025 signings range. This quarter the language sharpened: "We have seen a shift back to our largest hyperscale customers, back to inference and cloud build-out…the depth of that pipeline and the number of our customers coming back to that, again, for cloud build-out and inference, is very marked versus the first half of 2025." Combined with the +33.2% segment growth this quarter (vs +24.0% in Q2) and the >25% 2026 commitment, the demand pivot is no longer a hypothesis investors have to underwrite — it is showing up in the print.

ALM moved from "core growth pillar" to "structural growth engine with embedded scale." Last quarter ALM was reframed as a strategic pillar at $153M (+42% organic). This quarter ALM revenue printed $169M, +65% reported and +36% organic, and management credited the growth-businesses portfolio (ALM + data center + digital) with two-thirds of total revenue growth. The language — "ALM, drove two-thirds of our revenue growth in the quarter…expected to be nearly 30% of total revenue exiting 2025" — converts ALM from a fast-growing segment into the gravitational center of the revenue story. The risk vector also shifted: management explicitly flagged memory and hard-drive component pricing volatility as a discrete variable, which is a more sophisticated risk framing than last quarter's "single-digit million" pricing dismissal.

Treasury/DXP reframed from pilot-scale federal contract to platform validation. Last quarter Treasury was disclosed as $1M in Q2 with sub-$5M in Q3, the larger rebid still pending. This quarter that rebid was awarded as a new five-year contract with a value of up to $714M, subsuming the prior April award; Q3 Treasury revenue was ~$2M with Q4 expected at ~$4M before ramping into the spring 2026 tax season. Management's framing escalated: "it's another proof point in terms of the technology that we built with this DXP platform…and in this particular case, the IRS, which is very sophisticated." Pairing the IRS with the broader Treasury award, management is now using federal validation as the technical proof point for enterprise selling — a more confident posture than the conservative ramp commentary from Q2.

Margin expansion is now a numbered, defensible algorithm. Last quarter margin commentary was qualitative. This quarter management put hard numbers on the table: 37.6% EBITDA margin, +110bps YoY, on 47% incremental flow-through "consistent with last quarter." A repeatable flow-through ratio is a more durable signal than a one-quarter beat, and it is what supports the implicit FY range coming in at or above midpoint.

Capacity confidence elevated to multi-year visibility. Last quarter Heitman was defending capex by noting pre-leased Arizona/London/Northern Virginia assets. This quarter Meaney makes the magnitude claim explicit: "These assets coming online within the next two years have a collective capacity, which is the size of our current operating portfolio." That is roughly a doubling of the operational footprint with the leases largely already signed — a fundamentally different risk profile than a speculative build-out.

Recurring themes management leaned on this quarter:

Hyperscaler inference and cloud build-out driving data center demand resurgenceALM (asset lifecycle management) transition from emerging to core growth pillarDXP AI platform validation across enterprise and government sectorsSynergistic cross-selling model winning large integrated customer dealsPre-leased backlog reducing execution risk on capacity build-outDividend growth alignment with AFFO per share growth (10% increase, 4th consecutive year)

Risks management surfaced:

Component pricing volatility (memory, hard drives) in ALM business subject to changeFX headwinds from dollar strengthening impacting Q4 guidanceData center power costs as pass-through reducing storage gross marginRetention and mix shifts affecting RIM service revenue growthCapacity build timing alignment with hyperscaler demand cycles

Answers to last quarter's watch list

Data center new lease signings finishing 2025. Q3 new/expansion signings were 13.5MW, and early Q4 added a 36MW Chicago lease (net +11MW after the London transfer). Management's forward signal: >25% data center revenue growth in 2026 "based on currently signed leases," and >30% Q4 data center revenue growth driven by 36MW of new commencements. The +33.2% Q3 segment growth plus the FY2026 visibility statement reframe the question — signings cadence matters less when the 2026 number is already underwritten by backlog.
Resolved positively
Q3 revenue landing at or above the ~$1.75B (+12% YoY) guide. Revenue printed $1.754B at +12.6% YoY, in-line on dollars and 60bps above on YoY. Adjusted EBITDA ($660.4M vs. >$650M), AFFO (~$393M vs. ~$385M), and AFFO/share ($1.32 vs. ~$1.28) all came in above guide. Q4 guide of ~$1.8B + the reaffirmed FY range implies a clean H2 landing rather than a front-loaded raise.
Resolved positively
ALM organic growth rate. Disclosed in detail on the call: Q3 ALM revenue $169M, +65% reported / +36% organic, with FY2025 tracking to ~$600M (per Heitman). The 36% organic compares against the 42% Q2 organic and the 40% threshold flagged last quarter — directionally consistent and well above the bar.
Resolved positively
Adjusted EBITDA margin trajectory. EBITDA margin came in at 37.6%, +110bps YoY and +90bps QoQ (from 36.7%), with 47% incremental flow-through. Data center segment EBITDA margin reached 52.6%, +900bps YoY. This is the cleanest evidence yet that the growth-business mix is margin-accretive rather than dilutive.
Resolved positively
Treasury contract rebid resolution. Resolved: Iron Mountain was awarded a new five-year contract worth up to $714M, subsuming the April award. Q3 revenue ~$2M, Q4 expected ~$4M, then ramping into spring 2026 tax season; phasing is linear over five years rather than front-loaded.
Resolved positively
2026 data center growth >25% commentary. Explicitly reaffirmed with new specificity: ">25% growth in 2026 based on our currently signed leases." This is the same number as Q2, now anchored to executed leases rather than forward pipeline confidence.
Resolved positively

What to watch into next quarter

Q4 revenue landing at or above the ~$1.8B (+14% reported) guide. A clean print closes FY2025 at or above the midpoint and sets the stage for a 2026 guide that should clear $7.5B+ if the +25% data center growth and sustained ALM trajectory both hold.

Initial FY2026 guidance shape. Watch whether the FY2026 guide carries forward the "double-digit revenue and profit growth for the foreseeable future" commitment with specific numbers, and whether the >25% data center growth target is reaffirmed or refined upward given the pre-lease backlog magnitude.

ALM revenue trajectory toward ~$600M FY2025 and the 2026 setup. With Q3 at $169M and +36% organic, watch whether Q4 sustains that organic rate (Heitman guided "same vicinity") and how 2026 guidance frames the contribution from enterprise volume growth vs. component pricing tailwinds.

Adjusted EBITDA margin sustaining 37%+. Q3's 37.6% with 47% incremental flow-through is the cleanest margin algorithm management has shown. Watch whether Q4 sustains above the Q3 level given the implied ~$690M EBITDA on ~$1.8B revenue points to ~38.3% — which would be another sequential step up.

Data center new lease signings cadence and 450MW energization timing. With 2026 already underwritten, the swing question is 2027. Watch the run-rate of new MW signings in Q4 and execution against the 250MW-in-18-months / 200MW-in-the-following-six-months energization schedule.

Component pricing volatility in ALM. Management flagged memory and hard-drive pricing as a discrete risk and noted Q4 uses a current-view assumption rather than further upside. Watch any 2026 commentary on whether the recent component price firming has continued and how that affects the ALM revenue trajectory if pricing softens in Q1 2026.

Sources

  1. Iron Mountain Q3 2025 Supplemental Financial Information (SEC EDGAR): https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1020569/000102056925000203/q32025srpfinal.htm
  2. Iron Mountain Q3 2025 earnings conference call — prepared remarks and Q&A

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